Accelerating SLE Trials: Early Derived Endpoint Reduces Sample Size & Enhances Trial Efficiency

Mar 20, 2025

4 Min Read

Key Takeaway

ML early derived endpoints can help reduce trial timelines, optimize resource allocation, and increase the probability of success in complex diseases like SLE

Challenge

Clinical trials in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) are inherently challenging due to disease heterogeneity and the extended follow-up periods required for common endpoints. While adaptive trials—adjusting treatment arms based on accumulated trial data—can offer some flexibility, the long time to primary endpoints often limits trial efficiency and decision-making

Solutions

  • PhaseV analyzed a Phase II randomized controlled trial (RCT) for a lupus drug, where the primary endpoint was BILAG score improvement at 24 weeks.
  • PhaseV’s ML-based analysis identified BILAG data at week 8 as a reliable early derived endpoint to predict response at week 24, enabling trial adaptation

Proven Results

PhaseV designed and simulated an adaptive trial using the early derived endpoint, demonstrating a significant reduction in required sample size and an increase in overall trial efficiency

Figure 1. Sample Size Reduction with Early Derived Endpoints: This figure compares the number of subjects required to achieve 80% power across different trial designs. The early derived endpoint approach significantly reduces sample size compared to fixed and adaptive designs, demonstrating its efficiency in expediting trials while maintaining statistical rigor.
Figure 2. Optimizing Early Derived Endpoint Usage: This heat map illustrates the relationship between interim analysis timing, early derived endpoint effect size, and statistical power. The analysis indicates that incorporating an early derived endpoint for interim decisions captures most of the primary endpoint’s effect while optimizing trial efficiency and maintaining robust power.

Real-World Impact

By leveraging early response signals, the trial design optimized patient selection and accelerated decision-making, allowing for a more efficient and cost-effective path toward Phase III

The Future of Clinical Trials

Ready to Optimize Your
Clinical Trials?

Book a demo today to discover how PhaseV can advance your clinical development process.