Rescuing a Failed Trial: PhaseV Causal-ML Identifies Key Responders to Investigational Oral Insulin Treatment

Mar 6, 2025

5 Min Read

Key Takeaway

PhaseV’s Causal-ML approach uncovered responsive patient subgroups, enabling a more targeted and informed clinical trial strategy

Challenge

Oramed faced a significant hurdle when its Phase III trial for an oral insulin candidate in Type II diabetes failed to meet the primary endpoint: a reduction in baseline A1C levels compared to placebo after 26 weeks of treatment. Without a clear understanding of which patients might benefit most, the path forward for the candidate was uncertain, putting the program's viability at risk

Solutions

  • PhaseV applied its Causal-ML HTE Pipeline to analyze Oramed’s Phase III trial data
  • PhaseV enriched the analysis with data from Oramed’s Phase II study and validated the results using multiple external Phase III studies
  • Rigorous sensitivity testing and false discovery analysis were conducted to ensure robustness and reliability
Figure 1: PhaseV Causal-ML for HTE Analysis Identifies Key Patient Subgroups Responsive to Oramed’s Oral Insulin, Based on BMI and Age Distribution

Proven Results

The analysis identified patient subgroups—characterized by body mass index (BMI), baseline hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c), and age—that responded significantly to oral insulin

Real-World Impact

Based on PhaseV’s analysis, Oramed re-initiated a Phase III trial of its oral insulin candidate in the U.S. under an amended protocol

The Future of Clinical Trials

Ready to Optimize Your
Clinical Trials?

Book a demo today to discover how PhaseV can advance your clinical development process.